Lessons from the modern history show that visionary policies and rapid technological change can achieve agricultural productivity growth and poverty reduction. However, lessons from the past are not sufficient to motivate action in today’s world. The grand modern challenges, such as climate change, soil degradation, and growing competition for land and other resources add more layers of complexity to decision making and require rigorous analysis of the decisions’ potential outcomes.
The flagship addresses four sets of research questions:
This flagship takes a global perspective that transcends a single crop, commodity, technology, or agroecological system. Applications of the scenario analysis and work on innovation systems are regional and national, with current engagement in Africa south of the Sahara (Benin, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Cote D’Ivoire, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Malawi, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, and Zimbabwe), Asia (Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia, Laos, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam), Latin America and the Caribbean (Brazil, Colombia, Nicaragua, Peru), and the Middle East and North Africa (Egypt and Tunisia). The global perspective of Flagship 1 allows CGIAR and global partners to assess priorities over a horizon of several decades, and to position work accordingly. National applications allow national leaders to see scenarios for their own countries in a regional and global context, to identify priorities for national agricultural research, to assess the level of investment in agricultural research required, and to consider institutional reforms that will allow investments in science to earn high returns.
A few well-established projects and programs led by IFPRI and external partners are part of PIM within Flagship 1, including Agricultural Science and Technology Indicators (ASTI), Global Futures and Strategic Foresight (GFSF), HarvestChoice, and Program for Biosafety Systems (PBS).
Cluster 1.1: Foresight Modeling
Cluster 1.2: Science Policy and Innovation Systems for Sustainable Intensification
Global, with current engagement in Africa south of the Sahara, Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and the Middle East and North Africa.
Flagship leadership team
Mark Rosegrant (IFPRI)
Steven Prager (CIAT)
Keith Wiebe (IFPRI)
Mywish Maredia (MSU)
David Spielman (IFPRI)
Flagship 1 impact pathways